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The strength of the policy is in line with expectations. The New Year's market may have started, and the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) can be used as a key layout. On December 13th, as of midday, the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) fell by 2%, with a turnover of 115 million yuan. The constituent stocks are mixed, and in terms of rising, Yangtze Power leads the rise; In terms of decline, Zijin Mining led the decline. In the news, from December 11th to 12th, the Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing, which made a systematic plan for next year's economic work. Regarding the highlights of the meeting, CITIC Jiantou said that the meeting of the Central Economic Work Conference continued the main tone of the Politburo meeting on Monday, and made systematic arrangements for economic work next year. Next year's policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in an all-round way, and the policy strength and direction are in line with our expectations. With the support of policy expectation and liquidity, the current new year's market has been launched, and it is expected that the market will continue to show the characteristics of shock upward. Focus on industries: non-bank finance, real estate chain, consumer electronics, machinery, construction, building materials, steel, social services, catering chain, etc. Topics of concern: duality and innovation, supply-side optimization, new quality productivity, market value management of state-owned enterprises. You can use the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) to lay out the core assets with one click.Tianjin Port Bonded Area Industrial Development Fund registered and established with a capital contribution of 10 billion yuan. According to Tianyancha App, recently, Tianjin Port Bonded Area Industrial Development Fund Partnership (Limited Partnership) was established, with Tianjin Lingang Equity Investment Fund Management Co., Ltd. as the executive partner, with a capital contribution of 10 billion yuan. Its business scope is to engage in equity investment, investment management, asset management and other activities with private funds. According to the partner information, the fund is jointly funded by the Finance Bureau of Tianjin Port Bonded Area and Tianjin Lingang Equity Investment Fund Management Co., Ltd.CCCC Real Estate: The loan of more than 15 billion yuan from the controlling shareholder will expire next year, and will be renewed for one year after negotiation. On December 12th, CCCC Real Estate (000736.SZ) announced that the principal balance of the loan of the company and its holding subsidiaries from the controlling shareholder CCCC Real Estate Group Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "real estate group") is 15.091 billion yuan, and the annual interest rate is 7%. The above loan will be in 2020. According to CCCC Real Estate, according to the actual operation of the company, after consultation with the real estate group, the company plans to extend the above-mentioned loan of 15.091 billion yuan for one year from the maturity date, with the annual interest rate not exceeding 7%.

Trader: The Indian central bank may support Indian Rupee by selling dollars through state-owned banks.Market News: mitsubishi electric is negotiating with Japanese domestic competitors to jointly produce power chips, and advocates an alliance in manufacturing key components that drive global equipment.Treasury futures closed in early trading, with 30-year main contracts up 0.74%, 10-year main contracts up 0.41%, 5-year main contracts up 0.28% and 2-year main contracts up 0.09%.

Hong Kong Treasury Bureau: It plans to conduct public consultation on the OTC trading of virtual assets and the licensing system for custody service providers next year. Chen Haolian, deputy director of the Financial Services and Treasury Bureau of the Hong Kong SAR Government, said that it plans to conduct public consultation on the OTC trading of virtual assets and the licensing system for custody service providers next year to promote the sustainable development of different sectors of the virtual asset market. At present, there are three licensed virtual asset trading platforms in Hong Kong, and the Hong Kong Treasury Bureau plans to submit a bill on the supervision system for the issuers of legal tender stable currency to the Legislative Council for deliberation within this month.Beijing officially launched the online game boutique publishing project. At the 2024 China Game Industry Annual Meeting held on December 13th, Beijing launched the online game boutique publishing project. The online game boutique publishing project combines the functional orientation of the capital, highlights the characteristics of the capital, excavates the cultural elements of Beijing, focuses on five key directions, implements five supporting mechanisms to excavate and incubate the boutique, and guides and drives the high-quality development of Beijing's game industry. Five key directions, namely, spreading positive mainstream values, carrying forward the spirit of Chinese culture, showing the style of the capital era, highlighting the vitality of scientific and technological innovation, and having the potential for international communication. Five supporting mechanisms will be implemented for the game works and enterprises selected for the top-quality game publishing project in Beijing, namely, priority recommendation, whole-process incubation, copyright protection, platform service and talent guarantee mechanism, so as to increase support for the innovative creation of top-quality games. (beijing communication radio)Luo Zhiheng, Yuekai Securities: It is expected that the monetary policy will be further strengthened in 2025, or the RRR will be lowered or the interest rate will be reduced by 0.5 percentage points respectively. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11 to 12. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist and dean of the research institute of Yuekai Securities, believes that overall, the tone of the meeting is more positive, and positive signals are released in terms of work objectives, policy tone and task deployment next year, which is conducive to strengthening and consolidating the momentum of sustained economic recovery next year. It is still a high probability that China's economy will achieve a growth rate of around 5% next year, as long as we implement greater fiscal and monetary policies, ensure that the policies work in the same direction, and promote a series of institutional reforms that restrict development. Luo Zhiheng predicts that in 2025, the monetary policy will be further strengthened, and the RRR and interest rate will be lowered by 0.5 percentage points respectively throughout the year; Rhythm or more advanced. In addition, the monetary policy toolbox will be further enriched and improved. On the one hand, it will adjust and optimize the policy tools such as refinancing of affordable housing, "convenient exchange of securities, funds and insurance companies" and stock repurchase and refinancing, which will be implemented and achieved practical results; On the other hand, we may appropriately narrow the width of the interest rate corridor and guide the money market interest rate to run smoothly around the policy interest rate center.